Shiny Goings on

A while back, I heard about Shiny Apps in R and thought it sounded like it might be nice to build one to show off my ‘lackluster’ R skills. One of the issues is that, most of the time, I’m working with data that I collected with co-authors and it isn’t really public / published. However, I have been following the Kickstarter for Wyrmwood’s Modular Gaming Table (https://www.kickstarter.com/projects/wyrmwood/modular-gaming-table) and when they started providing production numbers, I started capturing it and building models. Partly, this was an attempt to get a sense for when I should expect my table, and part of it was because I was building prediction models for another project and the smaller data from Wyrmwood was nicer than the other dataset I was working with.

Anyway, I made my models and just sort of sit on them and then thought, hey, maybe I’ll make one of those Shiny apps to visualize the data and make it interactive. The product is below. I’ve been messing with it a bit here and there but with only 10 data points and changes in processes in the production line, these predictions are incredibly out of date. But, I plan on making some modifications later on. I’d like to graph the original predictions, the new predictions that Wyrmwood stated they’d give out in July, build in some expectations for the new technology introduction, etc. but that will mostly require new data from Wyrmwood.

[The Shiny App was here but something broke

Ongoing: Lessons from a virtual semester

I am no stranger to virtual instruction. Roughly a third of my teaching experience since leaving grad school 4 years ago has been in virtual versions of my classes. So when my institution switched to fully online classes in the Spring of 2020, I felt prepared. What I have heard from students then and since was that they wanted to know what was expected of them. That certainty and clear guidelines was what they wanted. Some of this was, I am sure, driven by the uncertainty in the world. Covid-19 was confusing and spreading, students on their Spring breaks were suddenly told not to come back, and, to some extent, the ongoing US presidential election increased everyone’s uncertainty about the values of the US (in addition to who would be President).

In the Spring, my face-to-face course went into a sort of Triage mode. I was already teaching 2 courses fully online (an MBA course on Organizational Learning as well as my standard undergrad class on Project Management). Those courses remained largely the same (with some adjusted deadlines due to an extended Spring break) but the students were already prepared to be prepared. The face-to-face course was also in that sweet-spot where a lot of my face-to-face exercises had already happened and (because I had already developed some material for online delivery) I was able to pivot quickly to covering the remaining material. The projects which are always the culmination of my class (it is Project Team Management after all) had to be abandoned as they nearly all involved face-to-face interactions. Instead, I had students submit the planning material that they should have been developing. It wasn’t an overly satisfying conclusion I’m sure for the students but it was something where they could demonstrate knowledge.

Going into the Fall I was planning for online delivery but there was the waffling that we are all familiar with about the extent to which face-to-face course delivery would be allowed. I developed some new material, re-recorded lectures, and shifted my traditional class to the Wikipedia development project the online version of my class has been doing for years. Thus far, the semester has been moving okay. I think that my structure helps students know that they should do, but my leniency also (as is the case in a normal semester as well) leads to more procrastination. The projects are due in 2 weeks so we shall see whether the work that has been ‘theoretically’ been happening in their virtual teams is successfully demonstrated. I know that some of my virtual teams have been struggling (though they sometimes due in a regular semester as well), but I think that student priorities have also affected their ability to be successful. I know of a number of students who have taken on additional work (in addition to more responsibilities within the household) during the pandemic. Time management is not always the forte of undergrads and that has become more evident as the university is expecting more and more students to withdrawal.

20 days to grades are due.

Jim March Conference 2019

Jim March was and remains a giant in the field of Organization studies, at least for those of us that are looking. With all of my academic training being at Carnegie Mellon, I was aware of Herb Simon and (to a lesser extent) Jim March from the atmosphere and the infrastructure. I stumbled upon the Herb Simon outdoor classroom or the intramural field dedicated to Simon, March, and Cyert. Several of my undergraduate courses (Psychology and CS primarily) brought up their ideas even before I made my way into actually studying organizations. The campus has so many artifacts of these massive figures, including a few named buildings and classrooms.

Mark Fichman taught a PhD course that I took in Spring 2011 on the Carnegie School of Organizational Thought. This course served as an introduction to the contributions of Jim March and Herb Simon to Organization Theory. And what are those ideas? Across a number of books, models, and papers, these researchers proposed that people don’t always act with full knowledge or perfectly rationally. That ‘satisficing’ occurs where individuals try and make a ‘good enough’ decision. Much of these contributions are based on mathematical models, eloquent prose, and (occasionally) experiments. These ideas won Herb Simon a Nobel prize, but did not make a huge impact on Economics until Kahnemann (in some ways) “re-discovered” many of these ideas and called it Behavioral Economics. Jim, in some ways, rejected laboratory experiments, which, unfortunately, made his ideas less palatable to the public than Behavioral Econ where the focus is really on the data.

Jim March died in September of 2018. This last weekend (October 4-5, 2019) a conference in honor of Jim March was held at the Tepper School of Business at Carnegie Mellon University in Pittsburgh. Jim spent the majority of his academic career at Stanford, but his papers will be archived alongside Simon’s at CMU so many see this as a sign that he thought fondly of his time there from 1953-1964. The conference was unique and familiar all at the same time. There were 6 panels where 3-4 presenters talked about the relevance / importance of some of March’s ideas on themselves or shared stories about their time with March. Some were free-wheeling, some emotional rages against the status quo in sociology/economics, some repetitive, but all were interesting. One point of view that was raised at the dinner the first night was that Jim’s ideas about organizations were like poetry: broad, subject to interpretation, not easily accepted by some, but full of important and inspired wisdom. Some in the community of scholars that align with the Carnegie Tradition therefore see their job as to translate that poetry into prose (i.e. experiments / simulations / or analyses). There was a flavor from some that all Jim’s ideas are sacrosanct and we are his disciples, but I think that view was only held by a minority of people there. Jim and Herb gave us lenses to look at the world, but, not to diminish their contributions, they certainly weren’t right about everything.

I found this conference very motivating and useful. I think its impossible for me not to have been influenced by the Carnegie Tradition. At the conference, there was less rage than I thought there might be. There were less emotionally difficult moments than I feared (besides a touching and important presentation by one of Jim’s daughters). I was deeply moved by the goodness of Jim as a person, an academic, a colleague, and a mentor; and I feel deeply grateful to have been invited to attend.